| Random
thoughts on currency fluctuations and investment opportunities for Europeans
considering the Turks & Caicos real estate market.
I'm Irish by
birth, living and working in the Turks & Caicos which has the US Dollar
as its currency. As a result I have a tendency to watch the currency
exchange US Dollar / Euro rates on Bloomberg while I sip my first cup of
tea in the morning and lament the US dollar's extended decline - which
isn't likely to change in the short-term. I have to return to the
"auld sod" at some point this year to touch base with kith and kin and
looking at the exchange rate I'm dreading it. Do you remember early
in 2002 when the exchange rate was €1.165 or £0.70 to US$1.00?
Its now €0.78 / £0.53 to US$1.00. Other currencies from
the Bermudian Dollar to the Nicaraguan Cordoba have seen declines similar
to the US Dollar against the Euro and Pound. While this will all
surely put a damper on my shopping when I am back in Eire, it does create
interesting possibilities for European investors looking to snap up a place
in the sun as an investment, a second home or retirement pad, so I thought
I would put quill to parchment, so to speak, and record my thoughts on
the matter.
Which country?
The $64,000
question is where should you invest your Euros and Pounds if you want to
get a place on this side of the Atlantic?
About 2 years
ago a nice young American fellow I knew decided that starting a business
in the Turks & Caicos would be too much of a hard slog. He sold
his truck, packed up his belongings and fiancé and moved to a family
investment property in the jungles of Belize. It turns out that the
property was a hut without indoor plumbing on an impressive stretch of
land which I expect was bought for a song. He affectionately called
it the "Love Cabana". Fair play to them, he and his prospective better
half stuck it out bravely for about 6 months. But it was hard to
keep the fires of love burning with monkeys jumping up and down on the
roof all night long. Some sort of territorial instinct apparently
drove the monkeys to pelt them with whatever came to hand whenever they
ventured outside to bathe. To cut a long and somewhat earthy storey
short the fiancé left him in for the mod-cons of the Big Apple and
he eventually followed suit, but Cupid's arrow was by then irretrievably
lost in the back woods of Belize. If there's a point to this
it's that you're often better off buying the best quality real estate product
that you can afford rather than going the other route. You only live
once as they say, so you might as well live as well as you can. |
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| Bernadette Hunt is co-owner
of Turks & Caicos
Properties, Ltd. ("TCP") is a licensed real estate agency in the
Turks & Caicos Islands. TCP was founded in August 2000 by its principals
Bernadette Hunt and Barry Dempsey. The company is a member of the Turks
& Caicos Real Estate Association ("TCREA"). |
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The Caribbean Property List has current
Real Estate Listings in the Turks and Caicos Islands
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I have visited
the Dominican Republic on various occasions, its just a short hop on a
small plane. Construction costs are comparatively cheap and the craftsmanship
and quality of materials are good so I have always kept an eye out for
"the deal", but I was never moved to buy property there. When I wasn't
dodging noisy mopeds I found myself trying, unsuccessfully, to evade street-hawkers
who I have learned can spot an Irish lass at 600 yards and cut off all
escape routes with impressive efficiency - "No, no hablo Espanol
no I
don't want to buy a Haitian painting
here, have a few pesos and leave
me alone" (for the record the last bit is a bad move). I personally
have misgivings about buying real estate where I can't read and understand
the terms of the contract for myself, which rules the Gulf Coast of Central
America in one fell swoop. I know I would fair better if I learned
the language, but the prospect is a bit daunting.
Bermuda has
always appealed to me, at least its English speaking. Perhaps it's
the fact that they get enough rainfall to make me feel homesick - although
no self-respecting Irish lad would be caught dead in shorts and knee socks.
In any event, I can't afford the price of a small damp cottage outside
Hamilton or anything else that I would regard as possibly habitable with
a bit of upside potential on a resale.
Cayman is similar
in many respects to the Turks & Caicos but it has a tendency to be
walloped unmercifully by passing hurricanes. I am told that when
foreign developers first started buying up beachfront on Seven Mile beach
it was something of a joke among local vendors who happily retreated, cash-in-hand,
to higher ground. For whatever reason (and many have been cited)
the Turks & Caicos seems to be spared the worst of the hurricanes that
pass through the region. Long may that last.
A friend of
ours who moved from Grand Turk to Grand Cayman in 2000 to work with a company
incorporation outfit managed to get a last minute flight out before Ivan
hit and has not yet seen a reason to return. Another feature of Grand
Cayman which I would have difficulties with is the bumper-to-bumper traffic
which has to pass right through the downtown tourist area of Seven Mile
Beach. I wish Cayman all the best and have no doubt that it will
come back bigger and better than ever, but at the moment it's hard to get
a clear sense of how the rebuilding process is going.
Dominica has
(large) snakes which I can do without. I always thought St. Paddy
must have been a great man altogether for taking it upon himself to drive
them out of Ireland. I often wonder whether he was asked to do it
by someone who felt like I do about snakes, or if he just saw the need
to do the right thing and took the initiative. In any event, neither
Dominica nor Puerto Rico have what I would regard as white sandy beaches,
which is central to my concept of a Caribbean lifestyle, though I must
confess that I'm more inclined to admire a nice beach from a safe and respectable
distance than actually to walk it or lie on it.
Jamaica and
the Bahamas have a bad rep for crime (but I gather from Jamaicans working
here that its not as bad in Jamaica as it is made out to be - particularly
for tourists who tend to be left out of the squabbles).
Leaving aside
my obvious personal bias and my inclination to distance myself from serpents
and gun-fire I firmly believe that from an investment perspective, real
estate in the Turks & Caicos is a solid choice. It's cheaper
than Bermuda, Cayman and BVI but it's developing as a very high-end tourist
destination, which is the driving factor behind real estate price appreciation.
There's an
shared view among many with broader investment experience than me, that
because the Turks & Caicos has a fresher product and better beaches
than Cayman the "real estate" tables will likely turn in 5 to 10 years
with the Turks & Caicos leading the island nations of the Caribbean
Basin (and the North Atlantic) in terms of pricing.
What type
of investment should you consider in the Turks & Caicos?
From an investor's
perspective the first point worth noting is that undeveloped land prices
here have been on an unmitigated tear for the past 5 years - so much so
that investors have increasingly (and quite rightly) been looking at other
areas of the local real estate market for the next investment opportunities.
First it was beachfront on North Caicos, which is getting its own port
and has a number of developments on stream. More recently interest
has extended to Middle Caicos with the possibility of a fly-over bridge
linking it to North. Commercial land on Providenciales has also had
a good run with second tier undeveloped properties in the Grace Bay area
now fetching prices equivalent to beachfront prices 5 years ago.
After 10 years in the doldrums Grand Turk real estate began an impressive
gallop of its own as a result of the new Carnival Cruise Port development.
So the second
question - the Sixty Four Thousand and One Dollar question - is what makes
the most sense for a prospective European real estate investor looking
at the Turks & Caicos in 2006? There's no sure-fire answer but
one possibility which is right under everyone's nose and which I find increasingly
interesting is the condo market right in the center of Grace Bay beach,
where it all began. After all, while condos have proven to be solid
investments over the past five years they haven't doubled or tripled in
price (yet) unlike undeveloped oceanfront land in certain areas, so the
best investment returns may not have been seen yet.
Condos are
also a comparatively hassle-free way for non-resident investors to own
developed real estate in the islands. You don't have to line up tradesmen
to help you with plumbing, electrical and other routine emergencies that
crop up in any privately owned building and unlike a hut in the jungles
of Belize you can invite family and friends to visit your condo on the
beach and be assured that they will enjoy a fair degree of pampering with
a blessed absence of angry monkeys.
You may ask
why I single out Grace Bay when it's already the heart of the tourism industry
here with prices comparably higher than elsewhere in the islands.
My answer to that is that Grace Bay beach will logically continue to be
the prime location in the Turks & Caicos and will therefore continue
to command a price premium going forward. And right now, it's the
place to be.
In Cayman,
which is 10 years ahead of us in development terms, Seven Mile beach real
estate continues to be a leader in price appreciation. I am confident
(if not certain) that condos on Grace Bay will continue to outperform the
rest of the condo market here. You can buy a beachfront condo elsewhere
for a little bit less but it is not the same thing.
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The reasons
why I believe Grace Bay resort/condo real estate will continue lead the
condo market in price appreciation are too many to list in this article
but include the following:-
Grace Bay
beach is consistently rated in the world's top-10 by Condé Nast)
- there is no other comparable stretch of beach in the islands suitable
for condo development;
All of the
prime undeveloped sites along Grace Bay have been purchased by developers
at this point and at increasingly higher prices, meaning that newer developments
will be priced higher creating a floor price for condos in existing developments;
The Grace
Bay area has the best known high quality developments (The Palms, The Sands,
the Somerset, Grace Bay Club, The Renaissance, etc.) the benefit of 10
years of attendant marketing and promotion and is convenient to Providenciales'
international airport, which is the main port of entry into the islands
with direct flights from various cities in the US, Canada (and now London
Heathrow);
Proximity
to and availability of private medical practitioner services and facilities,
banking / financial services and other basic services that you take for
granted back home;
Proximity
to general amenities - a choice of several supermarkets, brand name boutiques,
shops, restaurants, cafes and bars.
The majority
of tourists (who are the principal buyers of condominiums) visiting the
Turks & Caicos Islands still stay in the condo resorts and hotels along
Grace Bay. Most of those don't venture out of the area except possibly
to hop on the Gecko busses for outings to specific locations marked on
the tourist map around the island. Grace Bay is where the buyers
are and it is what the buyers see.
These factors
coupled with steadily increasing demand indicate that current condo pricing
on Grace Bay beach is built on a solid foundation and is a relatively safe
bet for price appreciation going forward.
There are now
preconstruction condominiums offerings on outer islands that have pricing
comparable to what is offered to Grace Bay. Leaving aside the absolutely
valid consideration of personal preference and the desire to forge a new
path, Grace Bay is more likely to be the better investment.
Existing
Beachfront Condos on Grace Bay beach
Let's consider
some figures in the context of currency fluctuations. If you visited
the islands in early 2002 and converted Euros to US$ in order to purchase
a US$1 million condominium in a development on Grace Bay beach it would
have cost you €1,165,000. That is €385,000 more than you
would pay today if you could find the same unit at the same price today
(which you can't).
However,
if you cross reference pricing on Grace Bay beachfront condominiums listed
in 2002 with pricing on currently available units it's still possible to
identify some condominiums listed in high-end resorts and residential condo
developments where a purchaser buying with Euros today is actually paying
less than he would have 4 years ago - yes, prices have gone up, but not
always enough to counterbalance the huge swing in the US$ / Euro exchange
rate over that period.
Is preconstruction
still the way to go?
The answer
to this is a definite maybe. Investment returns on preconstruction
condominiums in the Turks & Caicos have historically proven to be better
investments than existing condos. Purchasers benefit from staggered
payment schedules allowing them to lock in the price on condos that are
more luxurious than they could afford if they had to pay the full price
on a 30 day closing, and financing charges are avoided.
Preconstruction
condos may well continue to outperform as investments going forward but
the complicating factor which needs to be considered is that developers
have raised preconstruction pricing significantly over the past 3 years
- from around the $400 per square foot to upwards of US$800 per square
foot on higher floors of some of the ultra-luxury offerings. Do bear
in mind that the trend has been for each successive development to be more
lavish than the last which accounts for some of that increase. Nevertheless,
if investment is the primary objective you need to look closely at comparable
pricing to ensure that you are not paying over the odds for what you get.
So, name a
strong preconstruction option offered at a discount
Seven Stars
Resort
The
Seven Stars Resort is the possibly the best current example. It's
the 800lb gorilla of the Providenciales development scene with a financially
strong developer and advertising everywhere you turn. The completed development
will be the largest luxury resort on Grace Bay beach comprising seven 7
storey buildings built in three phases on a sprawling site with full resort
amenities. The development is located in the most developed area
of Grace Bay (on what was formerly the Allegro hotel site) directly in
front of the T-junction of Grace Bay Road and Dolphin Avenue which connects
Grace Bay to Provo's main road (the Leeward Highway). You have restaurants,
cafes, bars and quality shopping all just steps away. The Seven Stars
the first thing that you see when you drive into Grace Bay and will quite
literally be the gateway to the area setting the tone for everything around
it. It is a simple geographical fact that the Seven Stars' advantageous
location and scale can't be duplicated or equaled.
The first phase
of the Seven Stars, comprising of 3 buildings named Alhena, Maia, and Alya
respectively, is well underway, with Alhena and Maia now up to ring beam
level. From an investor's point of view resales in this phase are
"far and away" the best option at the moment and there are a few available.
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| Author's
Note: As a real estate agent/broker it's my job to identify investments
that make "good horse-sense" where buyers can feel confident they have
made a sound decision on various levels. I have a number of ideas
at any given time - but none at this particular moment which are quite
as straightforward and delightfully up-market as an investor simply finding
a comparative deal on a luxury condo "schlap-bang" in the middle of Grace
Bay beach and paying for it with Euros or British Pounds. For more
information about the Turks and Caicos Islands click
here to visit our website - Turks & Caicos Property Ltd. or
contact us at: - sales@turksandcaicosproperty.com |
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